Scientists would like us to believe they are objective
creatures, like Mr. Spock on the Star Trek series. The purely
objective scientist, however, may be as fictitious as the
pointy-eared Vulcan. The controversy over cold fusion, an
emotionally charged battle between scientific orthodoxy and a
band of heretics illustrates the point. What we have, Jim, as
Spock might say, is not science, but opposing belief systems.
This is the dilemma science finds itself in when new data
contradicts old dogma. Scientists reveal a religious fervor,
dropping the pretense of objectivity, showing that they, like
Spock, are at least half human, capable of pride, belief, even
inspiration. Einstein didn't bother pretending he was purely
objective. He had beliefs about the way the universe works,
gleaned from the Vedas in some cases, which he then tried to
validate through the arcane calculations of theoretical physics.
He said he wanted to know the thoughts of God, an admission that
his own perspective could be enhanced by a new understanding. So
stating, he, like Socrates, recognized the limitations imposed by
intellectual pride, that knowledge requires the admission of
ignorance.
There are more things in heaven and earth, Horatio...
The cold fusion story began in 1989 at the University of Utah,
when two electro-chemists, Professors Stanley Pons and Martin
Fleischmann, told the world they had fused atoms at room
temperature, reproducing the power of the sun. Ever since, they
have been the subject of criticism and ridicule from hot
fusionists and theoretical physicists who say cold fusion is
impossible. While Pons and Fleischmann claimed to have produced
nuclear reactions in water cells, hot fusionists had been trying
to do so for decades in large, expensive reactors. Researchers at
the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, having tried and
failed to reproduce Pons and Fleischmann's results, cast them and
cold fusion into disrepute. Physicists around the country,
including a panel assembled by the U.S. Department of Energy,
charged the professors with bad science, forcing them to set up a
lab in France with the financial backing of Mitaru Toyota, the
Japanese car manufacturer.
Pons and Fleischmann, and now numerous others, claimed to have
produced nuclear reactions by placing palladium electrodes in
water cells and creating excess heat', or energy. The theory is
that palladium packs deuterium oxide atoms (heavy water) so
tightly together inside the electrodes that they fuse and produce
nuclear energy. If the significance isn't immediately apparent,
be aware that fusing atoms at room temperature, if applied
technologically, would change the world. Cold fusion would create
clean, cheap, decentralized energy. Water cells would power homes
and cars. Environmental pollution would greatly decrease. It
would be the end of the fossil-fuel age and the beginning of the
water-fuel age. Wars over oil, like Desert Storm, would become a
thing of the past. The possibilities would be endless. Imagine
irrigating Ethiopia or the Sudan with cheap, desalinized sea
water, indoor fusion-heated farming complexes in Alaska. Imagine
filling your Chevy with a garden hose.
While cold fusionists have suffered charges of bad science',
the veracity of MIT's results have also been called into question
by Dr. Eugene Mallove, author of a Pulitzer-Prize nominated book
about cold fusion and former chief science-writer for the MIT
News Office. Mallove resigned his post in protest, claiming top
level people at MIT's physics department manipulated cold fusion
data. Currently he edits Cold Fusion Technology magazine in
Concord, N.H. Mallove claims the fix was in from the start, that
negative conclusions were drawn before research data was
analyzed, and that those involved have a vested interest in
maligning cold fusion.
A Canadian Broadcasting Company documentary raised the same
question about the MIT research, citing an obvious discrepancy
between MIT's real and interpreted data. On the CBC program,
MIT's Dr. Ronald Parker explained away admittedly shifted data
curves used as evidence that there's nothing more to cold fusion
than bad science. Parker said anyone who didn't understand the
interpreted data, the shifted curves, doesn't understand how
measurements are made.
Dr. Keith Johnson, a theoretical physicist at MIT who
presumably does understand how measurements are made, responded,
I don't understand what he (Parker) meant.
Even so, the bad science epitaph stuck and is even the title
of an anti-cold fusion book by Gary Taubes. The D.O.E. panel
drew, in effect, the same conclusion as Taubes. The panel
produced a very negative report, putting the kibosh on cold
fusion in the U.S. In fact, the report was so negative that
officials took cold-fusion research off the table, suppressed
research results at Los Alamos National Laboratory and denied
patents to anything that even sounds like cold fusion., Case
closed?
Hardly.
Mallove says the fix was in with the D.O.E. panel too, that
the chairman, Professor John Huizenga, who labels cold fusion
pathological science', and others, were biased from the start
regarding cold fusion. Mallove says the co-chair, Norman Ramsey,
threatened to resign if the panel completely nixed the potential
of cold fusion. A small concession was made in deference to
Ramsey, but the report still drew overwhelmingly negative
conclusions.
While Pons and Fleischmann suffered the usual fate of voices
crying in the wilderness (intellectual decapitation by DOE),
cold-fusionists around the world report experimental results that
conflict with the MIT tests and support the Utah results.
Reproducibility of the phenomenon called excess heat', where more
energy emerges from a cold fusion cell than is put in, is central
to scientific credibility. And where MIT's experiments showed no
reproducibility, research at the Stanford Research Institute
(SRI), the University of Moscow, in Japan, China, France, Italy
and India have shown not only reproducibility (100% in SRI's
case) but in some cases a second result crucial in proving cold
fusion is real: nuclear by-products (i.e., gamma rays).
Dr. Mallove charges that scientific bigotry, as mean-spirited
as religious or racial bigotry, has poisoned the waters for cold
fusion in the U.S. If that sounds harsh, Mallove offers examples
of high-level vindictiveness and subterfuge directed against
respected individuals in the scientific community simply because
they favor cold-fusion research. Mallove ascribes such bigotry
to, among others, Dr. Robert Bergineau, MIT's current Dean of
Science who reportedly asked, How did those flakes get on campus?
referring to Professor Peter Hegelstein, an MIT graduate and
cold-fusion theoretician who invited onto campus Dr. Fred Mayer,
an expert in laser fusion who also published a paper on cold
fusion. Furthermore, Mallove says, Hegelstein was almost denied
tenure because of his support for cold- fusion.
And there's another factor working against cold fusion: $30
million dollars in research grants going into MIT's hot fusion
program annually, with the director's salary at $200 thousand.
Cold fusion, if perceived as viable and worthy of funding, could
diminish hot fusion funding or even kill it entirely.
Mallove believes the water-fuel age will arrive within a
decade. When that happens, he says, cold fusion's opponents will
be struggling to regain their reputations after having launched
bitter assaults against a discovery that will greatly benefit
mankind. While labeling the current subterfuge surrounding
cold-fusion Heavy Watergate, he predicts a more violent reaction
when the first prototypical technologies appear, cars or home
generators. Then, he warns, the battle will become regulatory,
when fossil-fuel interests will try to pass laws to derail cold
fusion technology, insisting the matter needs endless study. But
Japan, Mallove says, is cold fusion's ace in the hole, a
prosperous oil-dependent nation actively engaged in cold fusion
research.
In the U.S. there is a degree of envy among cold fusion
researchers for their Japanese colleagues. In Japan, the debate
over cold fusion is polite and scientific. Researchers are not
rashly judged or branded incompetent for suggesting cold fusion
could be real. Their American counterparts would like to conduct
research in a similar atmosphere, without accusations and
emotionalism. In Japan, where over one hundred university
research groups are actively trying to tap the power of the sun,
the government and private sector lend legitimacy to cold fusion.
The Japanese Ministry of International Trade and Industry (MITI)
recently established an R&D Center and a laboratory with a
four-year budget of $30 million. That's in addition to $90
million a year already allocated to research. Not surprisingly,
the new R&D Center is one floor above the Toyota IMRA
Institute in Hokkaido, suggesting close cooperation between the
government and private industry. And Japan is only one of several
countries active in cold fusion. At the Fourth International
Conference on Cold Fusion, in December, 1993, in Maui, Hawaii,
scientists from major universities and research groups around the
world convened to share recent advancements. Significantly, some
attendees claimed to have produced nuclear by-products. The fifth
annual conference is scheduled for the spring of 1995 in Nice,
France, Pons and Fleischmann's new back yard.
Despite this worldwide support, DOE panelist, John Huizenga,
MIT's Ronald Parker and other physicists contend that the idea of
cold fusion is preposterous. At the heart of their contention is
seventy years of theoretical physics and an intellectual and
economic status-quo backed by multi-million-dollar research
grants. Atoms simply do not want to fuse, they say, and will not,
except in extremely high temperatures or pressures, as in the
sun. Moreover, if atoms somehow did fuse in a water cell, the
release of energy would kill anybody standing around. (Witness
the explosion at SRI's cold fusion lab which killed one scientist
and injured another.)
These objections are accepted facts and clearly make sense.
But charges of bad science coming out of DOE and MIT do not make
sense, given the almost universal reproduction of the baffling
excess-heat phenomenon. What makes even less sense, unless we
subscribe to Spock's belief-system theory, is the arrogance and
verbal brutality described by Mallove when cold fusion is put to
the high priests at MIT and elsewhere. Pons and Fleischmann, for
instance, were reportedly executed in absentia at a gathering of
the American Physical Society in Baltimore. Mallove speaks of a
wake for cold fusion at MIT even before the research data was
analyzed. Things get ugly when cold fusion is brought up, as if a
sacred dogma has been called into question. Like medieval
Inquisitors, guardians of the faith recoil, literally red faced,
we are told, charging heresy. A reasonable, scientific response,
one would think, would be to recognize the reproducibility of the
excess heat phenomenon, hence its validity, then try to find out
why it is happening.
Dr. Keith Johnson, a theoretical physicists at MIT, thinks
intellectual pride plays heavily in the debate. He says
theoretical physicists are notoriously confrontational egoistic
people who look down their noses at electro-chemists such as Pons
and Fleischmann, even though Fleischmann is considered one of the
greatest electro-chemists ever. Johnson agrees that belief
systems are at play, not only in the cold fusion debate but in
other areas of science as well., Spock concurs.
Dr. Johnson, who says he probably understands hydrogen and
palladium better than anyone, recognizes the excess heat
phenomenon as being real. He says, however, that the reaction has
to be chemical, not nuclear. He says recent successful
experiments using light water prove that fusion is not taking
place because it cannot in light, or ordinary, water. Even so, he
believes water-fueled technology is viable, having filed a patent
for a water-fueled motor.
The Japanese share Johnson's view that cold fusion may not be
cold fusion at all, having named their MITI-financed research
arm, the Institute for New Hydrogen Energy. This semantic, if not
substantive, distinction may have a great deal to do with the
bitter controversy over what many people call, perhaps
mistakenly, cold fusion. The words have taken on a negative
connotation similar to perpetual motion', especially at the U.S.
Patent Office and DOE. One official in the U. S. government was
reportedly enraged at the mere mention of the words, throwing out
of his office an unfortunate individual who tactlessly uttered
the forbidden words. Nobody wants to be associated with something
that some claim is in the realm of crystals and pyramid power.
Bill Clinton, no stranger to image problems, talked up cold
fusion during the 1992 presidential election. But he and vice
president Gore have since gone mute on the subject. Ditto Ira
Magaziner, Clinton's policy aid. From the Oval Office down,
officials concerned with perception more than reality have
distanced themselves from this promising technology because
serious scientists told them it was nutty.
One of the more interesting projects validating the excess
heat phenomenon didn't start out as a cold fusion experiment at
all, and may help explain why excess heat occurs when science
says it should not. It was an attempt by Dr. Randall Mills of MIT
to solve the long-standing mystery regarding the nature of dark
matter in the universe. Astrophysicists don't know exactly what
dark matter is, but they know it exists (dark matter is all the
missing mass in the universe physicists can't account for).
Mills, a free thinker, thought there was a problem in the
calculations of quantum mechanics, which is the way subatomic
reality behaves. He courageously set out to recalculate the
quanta, theorizing that dark matter is actually a form of
hydrogen, the most abundant element in the universe, with a
twist: an electron that rotates close to the nucleus in
conjunction with a shrinking atom. The revolutionary theory, if
correct, would explain why cold fusion isn't fusion at all, but
the effect of a physical reality no one ever knew existed. In
essence, Mills created a new belief system about the nature of
the universe.
Opening a lab in Lancaster, Pa. to test his theory, Mills
built a cell, much like a cold-fusion cell, using the hydrogen in
water and a nickel electrode instead of palladium. Like so many
others, he discovered the excess heat phenomenon, but his
conclusion based on his new hydrogen theory bridged the gap
between the perceived impossibility of cold fusion and the Pons
and Fleischmann results. Whether by nuclear means or not, Mills
produced energy from the hydrogen in water. And his theory, if
correct, could account for two puzzling results present in many
cold-fusion experiments: excess heat and a lack of significant
radiation.
Currently, U.S. cold-fusion research continues in a
quasi-underground. Some university labs, in the wake of the DOE
report, continue their efforts on the sly. Ever since the report,
the field has been cast into the realm of pathological science by
panelist Huizenga and others, a pathology of epidemic proportions
given the international efforts underway. Even so, a reliable
source reports an unnamed DOE official as having said, We believe
excess heat is real, but we know it's not nuclear. It seems even
DOE may come around at some point, but by then it may be too
late. While the U.S. sits on the sidelines, breakthroughs of
historical significance take place abroad. Dr. Yan Kucherov of
Moscow University has reported finding nuclear products in his
experiments, perhaps the most significant development yet. Other
researchers at the Maui conference claimed to have reproduced
parts of Kucherov's results, including Pons and Fleischmann in
France. Every year, despite all the protestations, progress
continues. Researches speak of time frames from three to twenty
years for the creation of viable water-fueled technology. If they
are right, we are approaching the dawn of a new era in human
history.
For the environmentally aware, keep in mind that cold fusion,
or whatever this phenomenon is, may produce nuclear by-products.
But the amount, if any, is inconsequential. Cold fusion, or new
hydrogen energy, is clean, safe and infinitely abundant,
potentially the best thing for the environment in the modern age.
Realizing these benefits, however, may require profound change.
Science, like Einstein and Socrates, will have to confess its
ignorance in order to gain new knowledge. Ordinary people may
have to demand en masse that no special interest stand between
them and the invisible abundance of the universe. We may have to
become visionaries of a sort, disentangling ourselves from the
power grid, the limitations of fossil fuel, the old thinking. We
may have to claim a new freedom and a better world as our
birthright. That will require some daring, and a new belief
system.
To boldly go...